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Rising Kashmir > Blog > Opinion > How Fake Poll Commitments Strain Economies and Erode Trust
Opinion

How Fake Poll Commitments Strain Economies and Erode Trust

Empty election promises are a serious issue with far-reaching economic consequences, impacting national budgets, investor confidence, and public trust

SANJAY PANDITA
Last updated: November 6, 2024 12:10 am
SANJAY PANDITA
Published: November 6, 2024
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EMPTY PROMISES

 

 

 

Election campaigns often come with grand promises, with politicians pledging everything from free services to economic reforms designed to lure voters. These pledges are often popular and appealing, but when unfulfilled, they expose political intentions while severely affecting public finances and eroding trust in government. When candidates make commitments without realistic planning or budgetary backing, the consequences ripple through the economy, creating budget imbalances, increased debt, and reduced investment in essential sectors. Fake poll promises are more than a political issue; they pose a financial risk to nations, destabilizing budgets and damaging both economic health and public confidence.

 

One of the most direct impacts of fake or exaggerated poll promises is on national budgeting and fiscal balance. Many of these promises, such as subsidies, free utilities, or massive public projects, require substantial funding. However, if these are not properly planned, even attempts to fulfill them can strain the budget, leading to fiscal deficits. When governments overspend to fulfill even a portion of these promises, they may be forced to borrow heavily or make budget cuts in other critical areas. This reliance on debt raises fiscal deficits and can quickly lead to inflation if money is printed to fill budget gaps, ultimately reducing the value of the currency.

 

This cycle places a country at financial risk, as excessive deficits result in high debt servicing costs, leaving little room for productive investments in sectors like healthcare, education, and infrastructure. The outcome is a budget that is frequently imbalanced, focusing more on temporary political gains than long-term economic stability.

 

Fake promises can lead to funds being funneled into short-term or less essential areas at the expense of genuine developmental needs. For instance, if politicians promise free electricity in an area where people lack access to clean water or quality healthcare, funds get misallocated, catering more to temporary demands than long-term progress. By diverting resources to fulfill promises made for political gain, public funds are not invested where they would have the most impact. For instance, education or infrastructure projects that could spur job creation and community well-being may be neglected. Over time, this misallocation slows down economic development and leaves citizens without the services and facilities they truly need.

 

 

When governments fail to honor budgeted plans and financial commitments due to the influence of populist promises, it can shake investor confidence. Investors seek stable financial environments for their investments, relying on consistent fiscal policies and steady economic growth. Frequent budget deficits, unfulfilled promises, or erratic fiscal decisions lead to unpredictability, making it harder for investors to plan or invest in a country’s economy. Countries with governments that rely on populist tactics to attract votes often experience increased economic instability, as companies and investors become cautious, reducing their investments and projects. This hinders economic growth and can lead to job losses and lower wages, placing additional stress on the economy and on citizens.

 

Attempting to fulfill unrealistic promises sometimes forces governments to consider raising taxes to cover the cost of these commitments. When the cost of a subsidy, free utility service, or loan waiver is distributed across the national budget, taxpayers often end up shouldering the burden. Higher taxes may be imposed on goods, services, or income, putting more financial pressure on the average citizen, especially on middle- and lower-income families. This approach often backfires, as citizens begin to resent the higher tax burden without seeing the promised improvements in their quality of life. In the long term, raising taxes to fulfill unsustainable promises reduces disposable income, leading to lower consumer spending, which in turn affects business revenues and economic growth.

 

Unmet political promises gradually erode the public’s trust in their leaders and institutions. Citizens grow weary of politicians who promise change during election campaigns only to forget or ignore those promises once in office. This disappointment fosters a sense of betrayal, leaving citizens skeptical of future promises and disengaged from the democratic process. As trust in politicians decreases, voter apathy increases, with people feeling that their votes have little impact on real outcomes. This voter disengagement is dangerous for democracy, as it reduces accountability and allows untrustworthy leaders to continue unchecked, perpetuating cycles of broken promises and fiscal irresponsibility.

 

The concept of opportunity cost refers to what a government or society must forgo when resources are allocated to one area over another. When a large portion of the budget is diverted to fulfill politically motivated promises, essential development projects are left underfunded. For instance, funds that could have been directed toward public infrastructure projects or healthcare initiatives are often reallocated to pay for temporary promises. This reallocation not only slows down essential projects but also prevents sustainable long-term growth. These missed opportunities have long-term implications, as projects that could have improved citizens’ lives and contributed to economic stability are pushed aside.

 

After coming to power, politicians face pressure from both supporters and the opposition to follow through on their promises. To appease their supporters and avoid criticism, leaders may adopt populist budgeting practices, prioritizing short-term political gain over sound fiscal management. This often results in erratic budget allocations, with funds directed toward popular yet unsustainable initiatives, straining public finances and diverting attention from real policy issues. Populist budgeting is particularly damaging in the long term, as it can lead to debt accumulation and weaken public trust in financial governance. It creates a cycle where political motivations overshadow economic pragmatism, ultimately hurting the national economy.

 

When politicians regularly make and break promises, it creates a culture of low accountability where leaders are less responsible for their words. Over time, this lack of accountability weakens government institutions, as policies and projects are undertaken to gain political favor rather than to meet the public’s needs. Departments responsible for budgeting, financial planning, and economic development are caught between the pressures of political promises and the necessity of fiscal responsibility. This conflict reduces the ability of these institutions to perform effectively, as political interests override sound economic policy. The result is a government less responsive to genuine public needs and more driven by the whims of political gain.

 

Empty election promises are a serious issue with far-reaching economic consequences, impacting national budgets, investor confidence, and public trust. Governments need to balance campaign pledges with realistic budgeting, ensuring that promises align with financial feasibility. This can be done through transparent and responsible budgeting practices, where electoral promises are evaluated for sustainability before implementation. Campaign promises should be grounded in data, feasibility studies, and budget forecasts to ensure they are realistic and financially responsible.

 

By prioritizing long-term planning over populist tactics, leaders can rebuild trust, strengthen economic stability, and improve governance. When leaders understand that the public values integrity and results over empty words, they may begin to prioritize meaningful policies that align with a nation’s actual needs and contribute to sustainable growth. Effective governance comes from aligning promises with practical actions that are beneficial for citizens, avoiding the trap of short-term political gain that disrupts economies and undermines democratic foundations.

 

(Author is a Columnist and can be reached at: [email protected])

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