Is India's UNSC Aspiration Impacted by US-China Competition in Central Asia? 

  • sameer
  • Comments 0
  • 18 Feb 2026

A news almost went unnoticed in the inside pages of a few national dailies this month. In a first of its kind acknowledgement after the recent military standoff, China has said that it respects India's UNSC “membership aspirations.” The statement and its timing can help reflect the emerging dynamics between India, China and the US in the Central Asian region. Indian Foreign Secretary, Vikrim Misri met China's executive Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu for the India-China Strategic Dialogue at the sidelines of the BRICS Sherpa meeting in New Delhi on February 10. The Indian readout of the meeting said that Beijing understands and respects India's aspirations for UNSC membership bid. It came short of a complete support but the Chinese readout didn't even mention the membership issue. China is one of the only nations in the five member UNSC (China, France, Russian Federation, United Kingdom and the United States) that doesn't explicitly endorse New Delhi's bid. Only one time in the past in 2014 after Chinese leader Xi Jinping's visit to India, Beijing supported India's “aspiration to play a greater role” in the United Nations, including in the Security council. Post 2014, India and China relations saw a downside with Chinese incursions into the Indian territory steadily increasing, particularly in Ladakh and the relations suffered a major setback after the 2020 Galwan conflict in which 2O Indian soldiers and an undisclosed number of PLA soldiers lost their lives. It’s to be noted that the situation in Galwan didn't just spur in 2020 but rather gradually escalated to a conflict from the increasing tension that started building up in 2014. Within this period of time the Chinese infrastructural investment through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and overall policies in the Central Asian region also developed tremendously. China and Pakistan are building the multi-billion USD China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) that passes through Gilgit-Baltistan--a disputed region between Pakistan and India which the latter shows in its map as a territory within its Union Territory of Ladakh. The CPEC is further connected with China's infrastructural projects in Afghanistan and the neighboring Central Asian countries. In fact the CPEC gateway is China's gateway to its very strategic Xinjiang region. India and China share disputed borders in eastern Ladakh where the Galwan conflict took place. This entire region including Gilgit-Baltistan is a continuous land of the same high-altitude topography and was the territory of the historic silk route connecting South Asia, Central Asia (including Kashgar and Kotan in today's Xinjiang), China and Tibet. Its current geopolitical stakes can't be separated from China's larger policies in contemporary Central Asia including its competition with the US in the region. It's also reflected in the way China addresses India's aspirations at the UNSC. US in Central Asia The US supports India's membership bid at the UNSC and has a renewed focus on the Central Asian region including renewing its interest in the C5+1 diplomatic platform that celebrated its 10th anniversary-summit in November 2025 at Washington. C5 stands for the five Central Asian nations: Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan and +1 stands for the United States. The summit established important mining and rare earth agreements with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan and Secretary of State, Marco Rubio announced that he would visit all the Central Asian nations in 2026. The US also said that it would repeal the outdated “Soviet-era Jackson–Vanik trade restrictions” and treat the region as a strategic priority.  The Jackson-Vanik trade restrictions is a cold-war era US policy that limited trade with non-market economies, particularly the Soviet Union. The policy remained intact for Central Asian nations even after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The US early this year also appointed Sergio Gor as its ambassador to India who also serves as the envoy to South and Central Asian Affairs. Gor is of Central Asian descent and was born in Tashkent, Uzbekistan and his appointment showcases how the US values India for its emerging policies in Central Asia and for its competition with China in the region. The historic geography plays an important role in determining it! It's thus to be noted that this highly strategic geography, heavily militarized and currently contested between India, China and Pakistan that stands right as the bridge between Central Asia and South Asia is very important to the emerging world order. This is why it is an important thread underlying how China perceives India's membership at the UNSC. It's also to be noted that in the past decade China's trade with Central Asia amounted to over $106 billion in 2025 while with India it grew to $116 billion. India's Proximity to Central Asia India has historic, civilizational relations with Central Asia marked by historic routes like the Grand Trunk road and the Silk route. However post 1947, after the creation of Pakistan, this land connectivity was disrupted and India’s land bridge to Central Asia became the new disputed territory with Pakistan and China--in both cases this happened due to wars and transgressions post 1947. Today this land bridge is marked by one of the most militarized tri-junctions in the world, including the highest battlefield of Siachin. With the new US focus in Central Asia and the brewing competition with China, Amb. Sergio Gor has an extremely strategic territory to look into from India. Unlike China, the US has been a vocal supporter for the expansion of the UNSC and also for India's membership bid. It's to be seen how the US-China competition and India's own stakes in the highly strategic region of Central Asia play out in deciding India's UNSC membership! China's support would certainly come at a price that India would rather negotiate with the US.   (Author is a MOFA 2025 Taiwan fellow and a visiting scholar at the College of Law and Politics at NCHU Taichung. This is first in a syndicated series on “Mid-2025 and a Global-Shift”)    

Leave a comment