Dry, warmer weather expected to continue until Oct 5
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By Irfan Yattoo
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25 Sep 2025
Srinagar, Sept 25: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday announced the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from Jammu and Kashmir, marking the end of a rainy season that left behind a surplus of precipitation.
The season, which had intensified from July 8 onward, was marked by showers, with extremely heavy spells recorded on August 25–26 and again on September 2–3.
According to the Meteorological Centre Srinagar, the overall rainfall from June 1 to September 24 showed a departure of plus 30 percent from normal, placing it in the “excess” category.
Director Meteorological Centre Srinagar, Dr. Mukhtar Ahmad, told Rising Kashmir that weather will now turn largely stable till first week of Octomber.
“From September 26 to 30, generally dry conditions are expected across Jammu and Kashmir, and this pattern is likely to persist until October 5. The region will also experience higher-than-usual temperatures during this period,” he said.
Dr Mukhtar said that maximum temperatures are expected to remain between three to five degrees Celsius above normal, while the minimum temperatures are likely to stay two to three degrees above normal at many stations until September 28.
“A gradual decline in both day and night temperatures is anticipated thereafter as the transition toward autumn sets in,” he added.
The dry weather is being seen as favourable for farming activities. The Meteorological Centre has issued an advisory for farmers, urging them to continue with the harvesting of paddy and other agricultural operations.
Officials said the prolonged spell of stable conditions would allow for the timely completion of harvesting, which is vital for rural communities before the onset of colder months.
As per MeT records, in September this year, the highest maximum temperature recorded in Srinagar was 33.8°C on September 23, while the lowest minimum stood at 12°C on September 16.
The heaviest single-day rainfall was 32 millimetres on September 28, contributing to a monthly total of 45.5 millimetres. When compared with previous years, this September mirrored many of the extremes witnessed in the past decade. For instance, in 2023 the highest maximum temperature touched 32.9°C, while in 2022 it reached 32.1°C, it said.
Data further suggests that the highest September temperature of 35°C was recorded on September 18, 1934, while the lowest minimum was 4.4°C on September 30, 1940.
The most rainfall in a single day remains 69.6 millimetres on September 10, 1992, and the highest monthly rainfall total is 184.8 millimetres, recorded in 2014.
With the monsoon now over and the dry spell forecast to hold, the Valley is gradually moving into its autumn phase.
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